In this edition of the Global Risk Bulletin, we examine the prospects for sustainable peace between Turkey and the Kurdistan Workers’ Party (PKK), the challenges facing Europe in achieving strategic independence from the US, and rising levels of civil unrest in response to Sri Lanka’s new budget.
World news in brief
A roundup of key political violence developments globally. Read this article
Öcalan’s message: A turning point for peace in the Turkey-PKK conflict?
Abdullah Öcalan’s call for the PKK to disband comes at an opportune time for the group and the Turkish government. Although both sides have incentives to pursue peace, several obstacles persist that could hinder a long-term resolution. Read this article
Europe on its own: Challenges in achieving security independence
US President Donald Trump’s intent to distance the US from NATO and reduce military support for Ukraine amid the Russian invasion has heightened pressure on Europe to pursue security independence. While the EU and several governments have pledged to boost defence spending and enhance military capabilities, significant challenges remain that could slow these efforts. Read this article
National budget sparks debate amid IMF reforms and protests
President Anura Kumara Dissanayake’s much-anticipated national budget predictably adhered to the parameters of the International Monetary Fund’s USD 2.9 billion bailout programme. However, austerity measures have prompted protests and strikes by public sector workers, raising concerns about growing anti-government sentiment in the country. Read this article
