In this edition of the Global Risk Bulletin we discuss the assassination attempt on former President Donald Trump in the context of growing political division in the US, look into increased tensions between North and South Korea, and explore the background of the failed coup attempt in Bolivia.
World news in brief
A roundup of key political violence developments globally. Read the article
North America
Votes and violence: Rising tensions ahead of the US elections
The motivation behind the attempted assassination of former President Donald Trump at a campaign rally in July remains unclear, but it took place against the backdrop of increased political tensions and heightened societal division. Within this context, the prospects for further acts of political violence ahead of and following the November presidential election remain a distinct possibility. Read the article
Asia Pacific
Bullets and balloons: Rising aggression in the Korean Peninsula
In May and June, North Korea has floated thousands of refuse-filled balloons towards the South, amid deteriorating relations between the two countries. While the hostile posturing is not intended as a preface to open conflict, it brings significant risks where a misstep could progress towards an escalation neither country is actively seeking. Read the article
Latin America
Turbulence ahead: An attempted coup signals further instability for Bolivia
An attempted coup in Bolivia in June was quickly cut short, but it laid bare some of the internal divisions within the ruling party. As governmental disagreements continue, the economy of the country is going through significant turbulence, driving popular dissatisfaction and regular protest. At the same time, the opposition appears too fractured to offer a feasible alternative to change the country’s fortunes. Read the article
