Global Risk Bulletin | July 2021

In this edition of the Global Risk Bulletin we look at the risks of bomb threats to the aviation sector, analyse the dynamics behind ongoing mass protests in Colombia to present the likely trajectory the unrest will take, and discuss the fallout from worldwide protests related to the violent clashes between Israel and Hamas in May.

Grounded: Bomb threats in the aviation sector

The recent forced grounding of a passenger plane by Belarusian authorities using a bomb threat shows how bomb threats against airlines, whether real or not, are disruptive and expensive. Because of the potential consequences of mid-flight detonations airlines will always prioritise safety protocols, which leaves them exposed to spurious threats. Read the article

The cost of reform: The commercial impact of Colombia’s protests

Violent crackdowns on anti-government protests in Colombia have served to further raise tensions, and done nothing to alleviate the real socio-economic challenges the country faces. As voters head to the polls in next year’s general election, the ongoing turmoil may result in a swing in votes to sitting President Duque’s left-leaning opponents. A potential change in government brings a degree of uncertainty to the policy environment, and will keep investors on their toes. Read the article

Enter stage left: The Palestinian cause on the world stage

A flare-up of hostilities between Israel and Hamas in May prompted a string of solidarity protests for the Palestinian cause in countries around the world. Polls suggest a generational divide in attitudes towards the conflict, with the younger generation displaying growing sympathy for Palestine. While the violence has since subsided, tensions remain high over this complex conflict. The increased visibility of the conflict, on social media and elsewhere, suggests those involved may need to be more mindful of how their actions will be interpreted going forward. Read the article