In this edition of the Global Kidnap Bulletin, we look at gang-driven extortion dynamics in South Africa and Central America, growing dangers facing aid workers in conflict zones, global trends in criminality, and the business costs of climate change.
A PIECE OF THE PIE: EXTORTION IN SOUTH AFRICA’S CONSTRUCTION INDUSTRY
South Africa’s construction mafias have operated extortion rackets targeting the industry for years, shutting down critical infrastructural development projects and costing the private and public sector millions of dollars. Hampered by corruption, often-ineffective or reluctant policing, and with many groups operating under the semblance of legitimacy, the government faces severe challenges in dismantling such networks.
THE BUKELE EFFECT: SHIFTING EXTORTION TRENDS IN CENTRAL AMERICA AND MEXICO
Since early-2022, El Salvadorian President Nayib Bukele has intensified a violent crackdown on powerful gangs that has forced many gang members to flee into neighbouring countries. Emerging anecdotal and official accounts of escalating extortion in Guatemala, Honduras and Mexico signal that criminals may look to exploit deteriorating security environments to strengthen footholds away from El Salvador and its overcrowded prisons.
WHEN LIFESAVERS’ LIVES ARE AT RISK: GROWING THREAT TO AID WORKERS IN SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA
Sub-Saharan Africa remains the most inhospitable region for aid workers, who face daily threats of severe violence, abductions and death. At times indiscriminate victims, and at times direct targets of politically-motivated violence, aid workers continue to face extremely hostile operating conditions.
ORGANISED CRIME GROUPS SHOW INNOVATION AMID GEOPOLITICAL CHANGE
Organised crime remains as resilient and adaptable as ever to global shifts in geopolitical dynamics. From navigating illicit supply chain disruptions due to the Russia-Ukraine war, to shifting drug production hubs to more permissive operating environments, and leveraging technological advancements, criminals continue to find and exploit vulnerabilities in a dynamic global landscape.
WEATHERING THE STORM: BUSINESS RESILIENCE IN THE FACE OF CLIMATE CHANGE
Sectors like aviation, agriculture, sports and entertainment have experienced greater vulnerabilities due to weather unpredictability, and an escalation in the frequency and severity of disasters in certain locations. As climate-linked events like flooding, wildfires, and droughts drive increasing operational, regulatory and financial costs to commercial operations, businesses will need to ensure resilience and preparation, with leading authorities cautioning that more such catastrophic disruptions are on the horizon.