In this edition of the Global Risk Bulletin, we look at the impact of ongoing Middle East conflicts on tourism trends, analyse the difficulty of tackling the rising terrorism threat in Pakistan, and discuss growing tensions in the horn of Africa.
World news in brief
A roundup of key political violence developments globally. Read the article
Middle East and North Africa
Tourism in crossfire: The impact of the Gaza war on travel to the Middle East
Conflict and geopolitical tensions have left an indelible mark on tourism sectors across the Middle East, with notable shifts in the choices made by domestic, regional and international travellers. Read the article
Asia Pacific
Security under siege: The rising militancy threat across Pakistan
The August 2023 attacks in Balochistan highlight Pakistan’s deepening security crisis, fuelled by unresolved political and socio-economic grievances. The Taliban’s rise in Afghanistan has worsened cross-border militancy. Military crackdowns alone will not resolve the issue without addressing underlying causes. Read the article
Sub-saharan africa
Tensions in the Horn: The potential for proxy war in Ethiopia
Tensions are escalating in the Horn of Africa due to Ethiopia’s Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam and its maritime agreement with Somaliland, prompting a defence pact between Egypt and Somalia. While direct conflict is unlikely, Egypt and Somalia’s support for Ethiopian opposition groups risks igniting proxy warfare. Read the article