In this edition of the Global Risk Bulletin, we look at the wider implications of the terror attack on Crocus City Hall in Moscow, explore the spike in election-related violence in Mexico, and look at how soaring tensions between Iran and Israel may have provided domestic respite for beleaguered Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.
World news in brief
A roundup of key political violence developments globally. Read the article
russia
Beyond Borders: The expanding threat of Islamic State Khorasan Province
The Islamic State Khorasan Province (ISKP) attack on Crocus City Hall in Moscow Oblast on 22 March put the group in the global spotlight, but the threat has been building for years. The group and its transnational networks now pose a credible threat not just to Russia, but also to European countries and the US. Read the article
Mexico
Violence and the vote: Criminal organisations vie for influence ahead of Mexico’s elections
With a number of races across various levels of government being run in the June 2024 elections, more is at stake than political office. Election-related violence is at a record high, and particularly at the local level organised criminal groups vie to gain access to or influence on those in power. In many cases, they are willing to resort to violence to get their way. Read the article
Israel
Forgotten but not forgiven: Political (in)stability in Israel
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has come under fire domestically for how his government have conducted the Israel-Palestine war, but also for a range of long-standing societal issues that remain unresolved. The tit-for-tat attacks with Iran in April provided a welcome distraction for Netanyahu’s government, but the problems have not disappeared, and underlying animosity is likely to soon return to the fold. Read the article
